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September 06, 2005

Defending Price Gouging on Mississippi coast

My brother lives in Pensacola, Florida and has been working in Biloxi, Mississippi. When I spoke to him tonight, he assured me that there is essentially no gasoline available south of Jackson, Mississippi.

What is the reason for the gasoline shortage on the coast?
A) A terrible hurricane destroyed the coast.
B) Gasoline companies are not reacting quickly enough.
C) Refineries on the coast were impacted by the storm.
D) It is illegal to charge what the gasoline is worth.

Although A, B, and C are all problems that affected the availability of gasoline in the huge area devestated by the hurricane, the correct answer is D. The quickest way to solve the problems caused by the hurricane is to allow the free market to set the prices of water, ice, and gasoline.

Adam Smith, the father of modern economics, said:

Every individual necessarily labours to render the annual revenue of the society as great as he can. He generally neither intends to promote the public interest, nor knows how much he is promoting it... By preferring the support of domestic to that of foreign industry, he intends only his own security; and by directing that industry in such a manner as its produce may be of the greatest value, he intends only his own gain, and he is in this, as in many other cases, led by an invisible hand to promote an end which was no part of his intention. Nor is it always the worse for society that it was no part of his intention. By pursuing his own interest he frequently promotes that of the society more effectually than when he really intends to promote it. I have never known much good done by those who affected to trade for the public good.

So, the theory of capitalism is that people act in their own self interest to make a profit, and inadvertently help society in the process. Governmental intervention in markets with arbitrary price controls frequently does more harm than good. Arresting people for raising gas prices, in this case, may not be the best solution.

Consider that the current situation is clearly chaotic, and no gas is available. Cars are running out of gas on the side of the road. Gas stations that have gas and electricity to pump it are patrolled by police as customers wait in line for six hours, pushing their cars toward the pumps. There is essentially no gasoline for sale on the coast.

Clearly, gasoline is worth more then $2.50 a gallon on the coast of Mississippi. I would guess that people would be willing to pay $5-$10 a gallon. That would be close to the true value of gasoline on the coast. If we let people charge the true value of the gas, then the "invisible hand" would make attack the supply and demand side of the gasoline shortage simultaneously, and then gradually drive down the price of gasoline until it leveled out at the national average.

On th supply side, if you knew that you could buy gas in Texas and drive it to New Orleans and make a profit of $2.00 a gallon, thousands of people would be driving 18 wheelers full of gasoline tomorrow into the area. On the deman side, if the price were allowed to rise according to what the free market it willing to pay, then the gas would cost more, and people would drive less because gas would become a more valuable commodity. As supply increased, and demand decreased, the price of gasoline would promptly fall to the national level.

Unfortunately, the government is not going to do this, for various reasons. The government is, in effect, unintentionally exacerbating the gasoline shortage on the coast by keeping prices artificially low. Because the prices are frozen, the gasoline will not flow to the areas where it is needed the most.

Update: Looks like others have made similar observations like Tempus Fugit in The Myth of Price Gouging.

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Posted by Peenie Wallie on September 06, 2005 at 10:15 PM

Comments

http://www.townhall.com/columnists/thomassowell/ts20040914.shtml


'Price gouging' in Florida
Thomas Sowell

September 14, 2004



In the wake of the hurricanes in Florida, the state's attorney general has received thousands of complaints of "price gouging" by stores, hotels, and others charging far higher prices than usual during this emergency.

"Price gouging" is one of those emotionally powerful but economically meaningless expressions that most economists pay no attention to, because it seems too confused to bother with. But a distinguished economist named Joseph Schumpeter once pointed out that it is a mistake to dismiss some ideas as too silly to discuss, because that only allows fallacies to flourish -- and their consequences can be very serious.

Charges of "price gouging" usually arise when prices are significantly higher than what people have been used to. Florida's laws in fact make it illegal to charge much more during an emergency than the average price over some previous 30-day period.

This raises questions that go to the heart of economics: What are prices for? What role do they play in the economy?

Prices are not just arbitrary numbers plucked out of the air. Nor are the price levels that you happen to be used to any more special or "fair" than other prices that are higher or lower.

What do prices do? They not only allow sellers to recover their costs, they force buyers to restrict how much they demand....

...For centuries, in countries around the world, laws limiting how high prices are allowed to go has led to consumers demanding more than was being supplied, while suppliers supplied less. Thus rent control has consistently led to housing shortages and price controls on food have led to hunger and even starvation.

Among the complaints in Florida is that hotels have raised their prices. One hotel whose rooms normally cost $40 a night now charged $109 a night and another hotel whose rooms likewise normally cost $40 a night now charged $160 a night.

Those who are long on indignation and short on economics may say that these hotels were now "charging all that the traffic will bear." But they were probably charging all that the traffic would bear when such hotels were charging $40 a night.

The real question is: Why will the traffic bear more now? Obviously because supply and demand have both changed. Since both homes and hotels have been damaged or destroyed by the hurricanes, there are now more people seeking more rooms from fewer hotels.

What if prices were frozen where they were before all this happened?

Those who got to the hotel first would fill up the rooms and those who got there later would be out of luck -- and perhaps out of doors or out of the community. At higher prices, a family that might have rented one room for the parents and another for the children will now double up in just one room because of the "exorbitant" prices. That leaves another room for someone else.

Someone whose home was damaged, but not destroyed, may decide to stay home and make do in less than ideal conditions, rather than pay the higher prices at the local hotel. That too will leave another room for someone whose home was damaged worse or destroyed....

Posted by: Nothing New Under the Sun on September 07, 2005 at 07:55 AM

Arresting people for raising gas prices, in this case, may not be the best solution.

Consider that the current situation is clearly chaotic, and no gas is available. Cars are running out of gas on the side of the road. Gas stations that have gas and electricity to pump it are patrolled by police

Maybe the police should be patrolling congress and the state legislatures, and arrest politicians for raising taxes.

Posted by: Victim of Tax Gouging on September 07, 2005 at 08:01 AM

And don't forget that there hasn't been a gasoline refinery built in the United States in the past 30 years.

http://slate.msn.com/id/2102031

The Great Refinery Shortage
America needs oil. You'd rather have a beach condo.
By Daniel Gross
Posted Tuesday, June 8, 2004, at 2:53 PM PT


There are plenty of reasons gas costs so much, but one of them is that the United States doesn't have enough refineries. The National Petrochemicals and Refiners Association says that the last new refinery built in the United States was Marathan Ashland's Garyville, La., plant—and it was completed in 1976. According to this report, between 1999 and 2002 refining capacity in the United States rose only 3 percent, squeezing up prices since demand grew much faster than that....

Posted by: Robert on September 07, 2005 at 11:38 AM

http://www.reason.org/commentaries/moore_20050901.shtml

Orange County Register
September 1, 2005

Katrina Reveals Gas Price Folly
Environmentalists, NIMBYs have blocked new oil refineries for 30 years
By Adrian Moore


...Bloomberg News reports that Katrina forced the temporary closure of at least eight refineries, responsible for as much as 10 percent of the nation's oil production....

...A new oil refinery has not been built in the United States since 1976. During that time, our gasoline use has increased over 25 percent. The nation's 149 existing refineries have been running at maximum capacity trying to meet record demand and, as a result, not only do we import oil, we actually have to import 10 percent of our daily gasoline from refineries overseas.

So when Hurricane Katrina or a refinery fire or anything else causes even just a few refineries to shut down for awhile, there is absolutely no excess capacity nationwide to make up the difference, and prices at the pump skyrocket.

For the wealthiest, most powerful nation in the world this is a ridiculous situation that will only get worse as our insatiable demand for gasoline keeps growing and refinery capacity falls further behind in the coming years.

Just a few new refineries would alleviate the problem and help keep our gas prices lower and steadier.

But getting an oil refinery built is next to impossible, hence the 30-year construction drought. There will always be environmental activists who fight any new proposed refinery, regardless of where it might be located and how environmentally safe it is. And our environmental rules give them the upper hand. ...

...President Bush recently signed a new energy bill that tries to make it easier to build new oil refineries, especially in areas with high unemployment – where the new jobs would likely be welcome. And yet, special-interest groups decried the provision as an environmental and public health injustice, arguing that these communities won't want refineries but won't have the political power to fight them off.

The opposition to building new refineries ignores the dramatic technological improvements that have been made since an oil refinery was last constructed here in 1976. New, clean refineries emit far less pollution than older refineries, with new scrubbers and design changes that dramatically reduce sulfur and other emissions...

Posted by: Robert on September 07, 2005 at 11:50 AM

If the price were deemed too high by the consumer, wouldn't he just move on to someone with a cheaper rate? Thus if anyone is willing to pay the higher price, then it is by definition not too high.

Posted by: visitor on September 07, 2005 at 09:09 PM